{"id":25083,"date":"2021-01-22T12:25:17","date_gmt":"2021-01-22T12:25:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/?p=25083"},"modified":"2025-11-03T17:15:47","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T17:15:47","slug":"infection-rates-and-vaccine-strategy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/infection-rates-and-vaccine-strategy\/","title":{"rendered":"Infection rates and vaccine strategy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"360\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/Cover-image-4.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-25092 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/Cover-image-4.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-content\/smush-webp\/2021\/01\/Cover-image-4-300x180.jpg.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-content\/smush-webp\/2021\/01\/Cover-image-4-87x52.jpg.webp 87w, https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-content\/smush-webp\/2021\/01\/Cover-image-4-319x191.jpg.webp 319w, https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-content\/smush-webp\/2021\/01\/Cover-image-4-479x287.jpg.webp 479w, https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-content\/smush-webp\/2021\/01\/Cover-image-4-567x340.jpg.webp 567w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 600px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 600\/360;\" data-original-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>One thing\u2019s for certain: we don\u2019t have the full picture of COVID-19 infection rates in the UK. The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK is <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/covid19\/map?hl=en-GB&amp;mid=%2Fm%2F07ssc&amp;gl=GB&amp;ceid=GB%3Aen\" target=\"_blank\">3.46 million<\/a>. However, recent antibody test data suggests that&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/health-55718213\" target=\"_blank\">1 in 10 people<\/a>&nbsp;in the UK have already had COVID-19, which would mean we have actually had roughly 6.6 million cases. Further, studies have shown that anywhere up to&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/thorax.bmj.com\/content\/75\/8\/693.full\" target=\"_blank\">81% of COVID-19 cases are asymptomatic<\/a>&nbsp;(therefore going undetected), suggesting that the number of people in the UK who have had COVID-19 is even greater. Sensing a theme?<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>There is a strong case that significantly more people in the UK have been infected with COVID-19, and therefore have protective antibodies, than are represented in the data. If the majority of tests are conducted following government guidance that you should only be tested if you are exhibiting symptoms, then the confirmed 3.47 million cases only represents the 20% of people who are symptomatic. The number of COVID-19 cases we have had in the UK could be 80% more than we realise, bringing the figure up to 13 million. That\u2019s 13 million people with infection antibodies, in addition to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/covid-19-uk-vaccination-tracker-find-out-how-many-have-had-the-jab-12179220\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">4.2 million<\/a>&nbsp;people in the UK who have already been vaccinated. Totalling over 17 million, over a quarter of the population could be protected already. This figure is growing everyday through further infection and vaccination (due to be 15 million inoculations by the end of February). Surely this is the most compelling argument for lifting lockdown sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given the likelihood that more people than we realise are protected from COVID-19, is the current rollout plan really the right one? We must protect the vulnerable, but should we protect the vulnerable primarily based on age? The current rollout plan prioritises frontline healthcare workers and the elderly. The reality is that the elderly are generally less active. Starting by vaccinating the elderly takes only the individual into account and doesn\u2019t take into account the individual\u2019s role in society.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>COVID-19 is a societal issue, with everyone told to stay at home, so should we not take a societal approach to vaccine rollout?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>COVID-19 is a societal issue, with everyone told to stay at home, so should we not take a societal approach to vaccine rollout? Think about it this way: it is entirely sensical that healthcare workers are first in line to receive the COVID-19 vaccine because they are the key to fighting this disease. Those who work in the hospitality sector, supermarkets, or run small businesses are the frontline staff of our economy, and these people cannot work from home. Equally, should the elderly, who can protect themselves against COVID-19 through social distancing, really be vaccinated ahead of young, people with compromised immune systems?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Every life, no matter your age, is of equal value, but with administering something like a vaccine where there is unfortunately a waiting list, there has to be a measure of utility and big-picture thinking in the approach. As I\u2019ve mentioned, we have our economy to thank for the vaccine and our national health service (avoiding the upsetting scenes in the United States where families are crippled by unexpected&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bmj.com\/content\/370\/bmj.m3097\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">COVID-19 medical bills<\/a>). We should be doing our best to protect it, and a functional approach to vaccine rollout (enabling people to attend their workplace ahead of vaccinating the elderly) could be the answer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One thing\u2019s for certain: we don\u2019t have the full picture of COVID-19 infection rates in the UK. The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK is 3.46 million. However,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":25091,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[116],"tags":[260,257,146,152],"related_service":[],"related_industry":[44],"class_list":["post-25083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-leadership","tag-strategy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Infection rates and vaccine strategy - Elixirr<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Recent evidence suggests that the UK has had far more COVID-19 infections then we realise... is now the time to lift lockdown?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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13.9531C18.6442 13.7827 18.9735 13.6951 19.3078 13.6994C19.6421 13.7037 19.9692 13.7998 20.2548 13.9776L33.4237 22.0406C33.6981 22.2166 33.9244 22.461 34.0812 22.751C34.238 23.0409 34.3203 23.3668 34.3203 23.6982C34.3203 24.0295 34.238 24.3555 34.0812 24.6454C33.9244 24.9353 33.6981 25.1798 33.4237 25.3558L20.2527 33.421C19.9604 33.6017 19.6256 33.6979 19.2841 33.6992Z\" fill=\"currentColor\"\/>\n<\/g>\n<\/svg>\n<\/span>            <\/div>\n                        <\/figure>\n        <div class=\"wp-component-card__content edwp-row-load\">\n                                    <p class=\"wp-component-card__eyebrow\">\n                Articles            <\/p>\n                <a href='https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/infection-rates-and-vaccine-strategy\/' class='wp-component-card__title'>\n            <h2>\n                Infection rates and vaccine strategy\n            <\/h2>\n        <\/a>                                    <div class=\"wp-component-card__description\">\n                    One thing\u2019s for certain: we don\u2019t have the full picture of COVID-19 infection rates in the UK. The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK is 3.46 million. However,&hellip;                <\/div>\n                                                    <div class=\"wp-component-card__meta\">\n                                            <p class=\"wp-component-card__date\">\n                            22 January 2021                        <\/p>\n                                                                <div class=\"wp-component-card__terms\">\n                                                                                                                                                    <div class=\"wp-component-tags edwp-component\">\n                        <div class=\"wp-component-tags__tag\">\n                Healthcare &amp; Pharmaceuticals            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                                    <div class=\"wp-component-card__button-wrapper\">\n                    <button class=\"btn btn--link arrow wp-component-card__button\">\n                                                                            Read more                                                                            <span class='edwp-svg '><svg width=\"20\" height=\"20\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\">\n<g id=\"Lg\">\n<path id=\"Vector\" d=\"M1.12509 9.50162H15.8648L9.43259 3.06941C9.374 3.0113 9.3275 2.94216 9.29576 2.86599C9.26403 2.78981 9.24769 2.70811 9.24769 2.62559C9.24769 2.54307 9.26403 2.46137 9.29576 2.38519C9.3275 2.30902 9.374 2.23988 9.43259 2.18177C9.54971 2.06535 9.70814 2 9.87328 2C10.0384 2 10.1969 2.06535 10.314 2.18177L17.8151 9.6829C17.8737 9.74101 17.9202 9.81014 17.9519 9.88632C17.9837 9.96249 18 10.0442 18 10.1267C18 10.2092 17.9837 10.2909 17.9519 10.3671C17.9202 10.4433 17.8737 10.5124 17.8151 10.5705L10.314 18.0717C10.1975 18.1871 10.0404 18.2522 9.87641 18.2529C9.79414 18.2534 9.71259 18.2376 9.63643 18.2065C9.56027 18.1754 9.491 18.1296 9.43259 18.0717C9.374 18.0135 9.3275 17.9444 9.29576 17.8682C9.26403 17.7921 9.24769 17.7104 9.24769 17.6278C9.24769 17.5453 9.26403 17.4636 9.29576 17.3874C9.3275 17.3113 9.374 17.2421 9.43259 17.184L15.8711 10.7518H1.12509C0.959309 10.7518 0.800312 10.686 0.683084 10.5687C0.565857 10.4515 0.5 10.2925 0.5 10.1267C0.5 9.96093 0.565857 9.80193 0.683084 9.68471C0.800312 9.56748 0.959309 9.50162 1.12509 9.50162Z\" fill=\"#1D0F25\"\/>\n<\/g>\n<\/svg>\n<\/span>                                            <\/button>\n                <\/div>\n                                            <\/div>\n<\/article>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25083","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25083"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25083\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60632,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25083\/revisions\/60632"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25091"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25083"},{"taxonomy":"related_service","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/related_service?post=25083"},{"taxonomy":"related_industry","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elixirr.com\/en-gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/related_industry?post=25083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}